Mobilising 2% of household gold can unlock $7.5tn GDP boost by 2047: Assocham
ECONOMY

Mobilising 2% of household gold can unlock $7.5tn GDP boost by 2047: Assocham

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Dialogus Bureau

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Indian household gold exceeds combined reserves of world’s top 10 central banks, signalling vast untapped economic firepower, says the trade body

New Delhi: A glittering reservoir of idle wealth sitting in Indian homes could become the engine of a multi-trillion-dollar economic surge for the country. Channelising just 2% of household gold into financial assets every year has the potential to add a staggering $7.5 trillion to India’s GDP by 2047, according to Assocham, that could dramatically reshape India’s long-term growth arc. With baseline projections placing India’s GDP at around $34 trillion by 2047, this infusion alone could propel it to $41.5 trillion, amplifying growth through powerful multiplier effects across sectors.

“Channelising 2% of gold holdings into financial assets each year can add $7.5 trillion to India’s GDP by 2047, bringing it to more than $40 trillion,” the industry body said in a press release issued on Friday.

Notably, Indian household gold is higher than the gold reserves of the world’s top 10 central banks, according to Assocham.

The scale of this latent wealth is extraordinary. “According to various sources, the estimated value of gold held by Indian households is about $5 trillion. This stock of privately held gold represents one of the largest pools of household financial wealth. Such a huge amount of gold can provide great strength to the Indian economy when channelled into the financial system,” Assocham said.

“Even if 2% of household gold holdings are channelled into financial assets every year, 40% of total gold holdings in financial assets by 2047 will add an additional $7.5 trillion to India’s GDP by 2047 through the multiplier effect,” it added.

The contrast between official and private holdings is equally striking. According to the World Gold Council, India’s official gold reserves stand at about 880 tonnes, ranking eighth globally and just over one-tenth of the United States’ holdings. Yet the vast bulk of the country’s gold lies outside the formal financial system, locked away in households.

This imbalance, Assocham points out, represents not a constraint but an opportunity. Even a gradual financialisation of gold — through monetisation schemes, gold-backed lending and gold-linked savings instruments — could unlock liquidity, deepen credit markets and catalyse investment across manufacturing, infrastructure and agriculture. The macroeconomic implications are far-reaching, from boosting consumption and capital formation to strengthening financial inclusion.

“There is macroeconomic significance in even a gradual shift of a portion of this gold into financialised channels such as monetisation schemes, collateralised lending, or gold-linked savings instruments,” Assocham added.

Gold of 99.9% purity rose by Rs 400 to reach Rs 1,55,300 per 10 grams (inclusive of all taxes) on Friday, compared to Rs 1,54,900 per 10 grams in the previous session. This increase marked the end of a strong week for precious metals, with gold climbing Rs 3,800 (2.51%) and silver surging by Rs 10,000, reflecting a 4.2% gain.
India’s centuries-old affinity for gold, long seen as a cultural and financial safe haven, could now be recast as a strategic economic asset, capable of underwriting the country’s next leap in growth if even a sliver of it is brought into the formal economy.