China’s Economy Grows 4.5% in Q3, Exceeding Market Forecasts
GLOBAL ECONOMY

China’s Economy Grows 4.5% in Q3, Exceeding Market Forecasts

Dialogus Bureau

Dialogus Bureau

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China's economy grew 4.5% year-on-year in Q3 2026, beating forecasts and rising from Q2's 4.3%, though property and domestic demand challenges persist.

China's economy expanded by 4.5% year-on-year in the third quarter of this year, beating market forecasts and marking an improvement from the previous quarter, according to reports. As per reports, the Q3 gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate rose from 4.3% in the second quarter, putting Beijing's annual economic targets within reach.

Beating Market Expectations

The Q3 performance came in ahead of general market expectations. While specific consensus forecasts sat slightly lower, the latest data points to a notable growth rebound that closes the gap on official targets. This acceleration has provided a welcome buffer for policymakers attempting to steady national output amidst external pressures and internal structural shifts.

The Role of AI Exports and Sector Divergence

A critical driver behind the third-quarter figures has been external trade resilience. According to reports, strong artificial intelligence (AI) exports played a substantial role in offsetting broader economic headwinds. These advanced technology shipments helped counteract mounting pressure from struggling traditional sectors, keeping aggregate growth numbers moving upward despite an uneven domestic recovery landscape.

Ongoing Structural Headwinds

Despite the headline-grabbing beat, systemic domestic vulnerabilities remain deeply entrenched. Domestic demand and the property market remain mired in a prolonged slump. The persistent downturn in real estate continues to weigh heavily on consumer sentiment and local government balance sheets, signaling that structural adjustments are far from complete even as aggregate output improves.